Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 game between Murchante and CD Baztan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
35%
21%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Murchante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Murchante carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Murchante's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Murchante Clean Sheet 20%
CD Baztan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Murchante | CD Baztan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs Murchante
2:1
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Baztan
1:1
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Baztan
3:0
Sep 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Baztan vs Murchante
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Murchante 67 / 100
CD Baztan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Murchante CD Baztan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Baztan has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Murchante remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Murchante scored in 63% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Murchante VS CD Baztan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Murchante
(Home) 30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0 CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0 Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1 Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1 Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1 CD Corellano
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30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0 CD Gares
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1 Ezcabarte
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1 CD Corellano
13 Mar
Murchante
4 : 2 Valle Egues
06 Mar
Murchante
0 : 1 Cortes
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CD Baztan
(Away) 09 Oct
CD Baztan
1 : 2 Ontinena
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1 CD River Ega
18 Jun
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1 CD Baztan
12 Jun
CD Baztan
0 : 0 CD Corellano
04 Jun
Txantrea
0 : 1 CD Baztan
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18 Jun
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1 CD Baztan
04 Jun
Txantrea
0 : 1 CD Baztan
23 May
CD River Ega
1 : 2 CD Baztan
02 May
CD Corellano
1 : 1 CD Baztan
11 Apr
Subiza
3 : 1 CD Baztan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD San Juan | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 21:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Beti Kozkor | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 23:18 | 33 |
| 3 | Valle Egues | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Huarte | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Pamplona | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Burlades | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:30 | 26 |
| 7 | CD Beti Onak | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 8 | CD Corellano | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:29 | 24 |
| 9 | Txantrea | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23:29 | 23 |
| 10 | Subiza | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 25:28 | 21 |
| 11 | CD River Ega | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23:43 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pena | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 32:14 | 47 |
| 2 | Cirbonero | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 32 |
| 3 | CD Ardoi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 26:15 | 32 |
| 4 | CD Cantolagua | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Cortes | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18:21 | 28 |
| 6 | Murchante | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Pena Azagresa | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24:33 | 24 |
| 8 | CD Baztan | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19:27 | 20 |
| 9 | CD Fontellas | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 18:37 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Lourdes | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 11 | Bidezarra | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
