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Murchante vs CD Fontellas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murchante play CD Fontellas in the Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Murchante averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. CD Fontellas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Murchante won 1, CD Fontellas won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Murchante and 1.13 for CD Fontellas. This points to a Murchante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Murchante
18%
Draws
32%
CD Fontellas
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Murchante picked up more points recently compared to CD Fontellas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Murchante Clean Sheet 21%
CD Fontellas Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante CD Fontellas
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.95 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Fontellas
1:0
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Murchante
2:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Fontellas
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Murchante
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 49 / 100
CD Fontellas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante CD Fontellas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Murchante or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Murchante attacking → ← attacking CD Fontellas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murchante scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

CD Fontellas let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Murchante went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Fontellas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 20
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD San Juan2098321:935
2Beti Kozkor2096523:1833
3Valle Egues2095631:2332
4Huarte2079429:2330
5Pamplona2086628:1830
6Burlades2075822:3026
7CD Beti Onak2059626:2524
8CD Corellano2066824:2924
9Txantrea2058723:2923
10Subiza2049725:2821
11CD River Ega20351223:4314
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pena20145132:1447
2Cirbonero2088435:2132
3CD Ardoi2088426:1532
4CD Cantolagua2087528:1931
5Cortes2077618:2128
6Murchante2059619:1924
7Pena Azagresa20731024:3324
8CD Baztan2048819:2720
9CD Fontellas20621218:3720
10CD Lourdes2047918:2619
11Bidezarra20541118:2319