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Murchante vs Valle Egues Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murchante in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murchante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Murchante
30%
Draws
19%
Valle Egues
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valle Egues lately — more wins on the board than Murchante.
  • Win probability leans Murchante's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Murchante Clean Sheet 68%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante Valle Egues
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Valle Egues
4:2
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Murchante
3:0
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Murchante
2:4
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Valle Egues
0:0
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Murchante
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 86 / 100
Valle Egues 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante Valle Egues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valle Egues has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Murchante remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Murchante found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Valle Egues
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Murchante

(Home)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

Valle Egues

(Away)
03 Oct
Valle Egues
0 : 1
Aoiz
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)