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Murcia vs Albacete

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
28'
33'
Sub
Valverde V. In: Pacheco A.
Out: Valverde V.

AI Match Summary

Albacete in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albacete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Murcia
39%
Draws
31%
Albacete
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albacete lately — more wins on the board than Murcia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Albacete here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Albacete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Albacete
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Albacete
1:2
Jul 27, 2013 Club Friendly
Albacete vs Murcia
1:0
Apr 3, 2010 LaLiga2
Murcia vs Albacete
0:2
Oct 31, 2009 LaLiga2
Albacete vs Murcia
3:2
Jun 6, 2009 LaLiga2
Albacete vs Murcia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mier J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Albacete Compare

Top Goalscorer Puertas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 41 / 100
Albacete 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Albacete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Albacete let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Albacete
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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Albacete

(Away)
21 Jul
Albacete
2 : 1
Al Kholood
17 Jul
Leganes
0 : 0
Albacete
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0
Albacete
24 May
Albacete
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
15 May
Cordoba
1 : 2
Albacete
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