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Stadium Background

Murcia vs Eldense

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Schalk A.
24'
Bustillo M.
35' Event
Jaso Zunzarren A.

AI Match Summary

Murcia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Murcia
6%
Draws
4%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eldense have won more games recently than Murcia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Murcia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Eldense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Eldense
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Murcia
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Eldense
3:1
May 27, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Eldense
1:2
Jan 14, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Murcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Schalk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaso Zunzarren A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 95 / 100
Eldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Murcia scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Eldense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Eldense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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Eldense

(Away)
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Eldense
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
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