Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murcia vs Sanluqueno

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Juarez A.
28'
Djanbou S.
29'
Mier J.

AI Match Summary

Sanluqueno in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanluqueno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Murcia
30%
Draws
19%
Sanluqueno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Sanluqueno.
  • Win probability leans Murcia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Sanluqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Sanluqueno
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.26 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sanluqueno
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs Murcia
0:2
May 17, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs Murcia
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sanluqueno
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sanluqueno vs Murcia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sanluqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Juarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 95 / 100
Sanluqueno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Sanluqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Murcia's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Sanluqueno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Sanluqueno
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
12 Aug
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 1
Murcia
08 Aug
Albacete
1 : 1
Murcia
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4
Murcia
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
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Sanluqueno

(Away)
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
28 Aug
Sanluqueno
0 : 3
Betis B
22 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Aug
Sanluqueno
0 : 0
Antoniano
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)