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Stadium Background

Murdoch University Melville vs Curtin University - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

WA State League Len Shearer Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tanna D.
39' Event
Ledwith J.
44' Event
Wynne-willson E.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Murdoch University Melville and Curtin University finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curtin University.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Murdoch University Melville
15%
Draws
34%
Curtin University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murdoch University Melville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Curtin University haven't matched Murdoch University Melville's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Murdoch University Melville's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 11%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murdoch University Melville Curtin University
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Curtin University
1:2
May 15, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Curtin University
2:2
Jun 4, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
6:7
Feb 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Wynne-willson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Curtin University Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanna D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ledwith J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murdoch University Melville 47 / 100
Curtin University 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murdoch University Melville Curtin University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murdoch University Melville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Murdoch University Melville scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Curtin University conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Curtin University lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murdoch University Melville VS Curtin University
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Murdoch University Melville

(Home)
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Kingsley Westside
1 : 3
Murdoch University Melville
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2
Curtin University
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
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Curtin University

(Away)
22 Aug
Curtin University
0 : 4
Inglewood Utd
15 Aug
Joondalup City
1 : 0
Curtin University
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2
Curtin University
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)