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Murdoch University Melville vs Inglewood Utd

Australia Australia

WA State League Len Shearer Reserve
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murdoch University Melville play Inglewood Utd in the WA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Murdoch University Melville averaged 2.19 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Inglewood Utd averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Murdoch University Melville won 1, Inglewood Utd won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Murdoch University Melville and 1.69 for Inglewood Utd. This points to a Inglewood Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Murdoch University Melville
35%
Draws
33%
Inglewood Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inglewood Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Murdoch University Melville picked up more points recently compared to Inglewood Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 13%
Inglewood Utd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murdoch University Melville Inglewood Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.19 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Inglewood Utd
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 WA State League
Inglewood Utd vs Murdoch University Melville
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Inglewood Utd
7:2
Jun 7, 2025 WA State League
Inglewood Utd vs Murdoch University Melville
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Inglewood Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murdoch University Melville 31 / 100
Inglewood Utd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murdoch University Melville Inglewood Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inglewood Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Murdoch University Melville attacking → ← attacking Inglewood Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murdoch University Melville scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Inglewood Utd let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Murdoch University Melville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Inglewood Utd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 47
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UWA Nedlands15112237:1735
2Floreat Athena15103234:1633
3Joondalup City1591527:2128
4Mandurah City1582536:2726
5Inglewood Utd1573513:1524
6Kingsley Westside1571724:2222
7Cockburn City1554628:3119
8Quinns1553719:3018
9Murdoch University Melville1536625:3015
10Gwelup Croatia SC1536621:3015
11Curtin University15231011:239
12Subiaco15301225:389