Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City

Australia Australia

WA State League Len Shearer Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Zaw F.
57' Event
Lovell S.
68' Event
Lovell S.

AI Match Summary

Mandurah City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Murdoch University Melville
33%
Draws
40%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mandurah City have won more games recently than Murdoch University Melville.
  • Win probability leans Mandurah City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murdoch University Melville Mandurah City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Murdoch University Melville
2:2
Jul 6, 2024 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
2:6
Apr 6, 2024 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Murdoch University Melville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Lovell S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murdoch University Melville 26 / 100
Mandurah City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murdoch University Melville Mandurah City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murdoch University Melville found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Mandurah City has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Murdoch University Melville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murdoch University Melville VS Mandurah City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Murdoch University Melville

(Home)
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
Page 1 of 6

Mandurah City

(Away)
25 Jul
Mandurah City
1 : 1
Inglewood Utd
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
27 Jun
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Kingsley Westside
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena18133242:1842
2UWA Nedlands18122441:2338
3Mandurah City18103543:3233
4Joondalup City18101732:2931
5Kingsley Westside1891831:2528
6Inglewood Utd1884618:1928
7Quinns1873825:3424
8Gwelup Croatia SC1856728:3621
9Murdoch University Melville1847733:3719
10Cockburn City1854929:3819
11Subiaco18411329:4213
12Curtin University18231315:339
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)