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Murdoch University Melville vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

WA State League Len Shearer Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Murdoch University Melville host UWA Nedlands in the WA State League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Murdoch University Melville have averaged 1.63 scored and 2 conceded recently, against UWA Nedlands's 2 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor UWA Nedlands slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.00) point toward UWA Nedlands. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Murdoch University Melville
44%
Draws
20%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UWA Nedlands lately — more wins on the board than Murdoch University Melville.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UWA Nedlands have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murdoch University Melville UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Murdoch University Melville
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Murdoch University Melville
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs UWA Nedlands
2:4
Aug 24, 2024 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Murdoch University Melville
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs UWA Nedlands
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murdoch University Melville 34 / 100
UWA Nedlands 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murdoch University Melville UWA Nedlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Murdoch University Melville scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

UWA Nedlands has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Murdoch University Melville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Murdoch University Melville VS UWA Nedlands
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Murdoch University Melville

(Home)
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
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UWA Nedlands

(Away)
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
18 Jul
Inglewood Utd
3 : 1
UWA Nedlands
11 Jul
Quinns
2 : 1
UWA Nedlands
04 Jul
Kingsley Westside
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
27 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Cockburn City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena18133242:1842
2UWA Nedlands18122441:2338
3Mandurah City18103543:3233
4Joondalup City18102633:2732
5Inglewood Utd1884618:1928
6Kingsley Westside1882829:2626
7Quinns1873825:3424
8Gwelup Croatia SC1856728:3621
9Murdoch University Melville1847733:3719
10Cockburn City1854929:3819
11Subiaco18411329:4213
12Curtin University18231315:339
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)