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Murici vs CSA

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Igor Guilherme
24'
Leo Reis
33'
Caua

AI Match Summary

CSA in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Murici
20%
Draws
40%
CSA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CSA have won more games recently than Murici.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Murici taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%
CSA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici CSA
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs CSA
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CSA
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Alagoano
CSA vs Murici
2:0
Mar 26, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs CSA
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Murici
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 77 / 100
CSA 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici CSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murici Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSA conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: CSA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Murici found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS CSA
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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CSA

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)