Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D 2018

Flamengo Arcoverde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Murici play Flamengo Arcoverde in the Serie D 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Murici averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Flamengo Arcoverde averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Murici won 0, Flamengo Arcoverde won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 27, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Murici and 1.06 for Flamengo Arcoverde. This points to a Flamengo Arcoverde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Murici

15%

Draws

48%

Flamengo Arcoverde

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo Arcoverde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Murici picked up more points recently compared to Flamengo Arcoverde.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Murici Clean Sheet 22%

Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Murici	Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	8	1
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.27	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2018 Serie D

Murici vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D

Flamengo Arcoverde vs Murici

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 38 / 100

Flamengo Arcoverde 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Murici Flamengo Arcoverde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flamengo Arcoverde or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Murici attacking → ← attacking Flamengo Arcoverde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murici scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Flamengo Arcoverde let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Murici went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo Arcoverde lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 46

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manaus FC	6	4	0	2	14:8	12
2	Rio Branco AC	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	Macapa	6	2	0	4	7:16	6
4	Bare	6	1	2	3	5:8	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente	6	3	3	0	8:3	12
2	Santos AP	6	2	2	2	13:8	8
3	Barcelona RO	6	2	2	2	8:7	8
4	Placido de Castro	6	1	1	4	8:19	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	6	3	1	2	9:4	10
2	Sao Raimundo RR	6	2	2	2	10:11	8
3	Sao Raimundo PA	6	2	2	2	7:8	8
4	Real Ariquemes	6	1	3	2	7:10	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario	6	2	4	0	7:5	10
2	Cordino EC	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Julho Esporte	6	1	3	2	3:5	6
4	Interporto	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moto Club	6	4	1	1	6:3	13
2	AE Altos	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
3	SD Sparta	6	1	2	3	6:9	5
4	ASSU	6	1	1	4	2:6	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America RN	6	4	2	0	11:6	14
2	Imperatriz	6	2	3	1	10:3	9
3	Belo Jardim	6	0	4	2	6:12	4
4	Guarani de Juazeiro	6	0	3	3	8:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sergipe	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
2	Jacuipense	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
3	Central SC	6	1	3	2	7:6	6
4	ASA	6	0	4	2	7:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Campinense	6	5	1	0	12:3	16
2	Fluminense de Feira	6	4	1	1	18:3	13
3	Flamengo Arcoverde	6	1	1	4	4:16	4
4	Murici	6	0	1	5	4:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treze PB	6	3	3	0	14:4	12
2	Itabaiana	6	3	1	2	11:9	10
3	Vitoria da Conquista	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
4	Santa Rita	6	1	0	5	6:16	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ipora	6	4	1	1	10:4	13
2	Brasiliense	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
3	Corumbaense	6	2	2	2	5:9	8
4	Dom Bosco	6	0	1	5	2:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sinop FC	6	3	1	2	6:5	10
2	Novoperario	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Aparecidense	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Ceilandia	6	1	2	3	9:11	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macae	6	3	2	1	10:8	11
2	URT	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
3	Itumbiara	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
4	Espirito Santo (Inactive)	6	0	2	4	6:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uberlandia	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
2	Novorizontino	6	2	3	1	10:9	9
3	Americano	6	2	2	2	10:11	8
4	CA Itapemirim	6	0	3	3	3:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linense	6	2	3	1	5:3	9
2	Maringa FC	6	2	3	1	7:6	9
3	Madureira	6	1	3	2	6:7	6
4	Caldense	6	1	3	2	5:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SER Caxias do Sul	6	5	1	0	13:2	16
2	Inter de Lages	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
3	Mirassol	6	2	1	3	3:5	7
4	Nova Iguacu	6	1	0	5	6:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tubarao	6	5	0	1	9:3	15
2	Novo Hamburgo	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Cianorte	6	1	3	2	2:5	6
4	Ferroviaria	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Jose (PA)	6	6	0	10:4	18
2	Brusque	6	3	3	9:5	9
3	Prudentopolis	6	2	4	6:8	6
4	Mogi Mirim	6	1	5	6:14	3