Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MuSa vs Honka

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Porin Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MuSa play Honka in the Kakkonen Group B. Honka are favorites here. Recently, MuSa averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. Honka averaged 3.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, MuSa won 0, Honka won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for MuSa and 2.94 for Honka. This points to a Honka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
MuSa
15%
Draws
60%
Honka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • MuSa picked up more points recently compared to Honka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%
Honka Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MuSa Honka
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 24
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.97 3.27
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Honka vs MuSa
7:1
Apr 24, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Honka
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MuSa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Honka Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Wehliye K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Umeh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MuSa 25 / 100
Honka 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MuSa Honka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Honka & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

MuSa attacking → ← attacking Honka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MuSa scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Honka let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

MuSa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Honka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 74
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1182128:1026
3Ilves 21054127:1719
4HJS1153318:1518
5Pallo-Iirot1152421:1617
6GrIFK1143414:1715
7EPS1132620:2011
8MuSa1223715:379
9EBK1122714:278
10NJS1101106:331