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Musanze vs Gasogi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Musanze and Gasogi United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gasogi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Musanze
20%
Draws
10%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musanze come out ahead of Gasogi United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Musanze's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Musanze Clean Sheet 68%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musanze Gasogi United
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Gasogi United
3:2
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Musanze
0:3
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Gasogi United
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Musanze
1:1
Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Gasogi United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 59 / 100
Gasogi United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musanze Gasogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musanze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gasogi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Musanze has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Gasogi United registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Gasogi United
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Musanze

(Home)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
Page 1 of 6

Gasogi United

(Away)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)