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Musanze vs Kiyovu

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Ubworoherane Football Stadium, Musanze
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Munyurangabo L.
Assist: Kwihangana C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Musanze and Kiyovu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musanze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Musanze
15%
Draws
48%
Kiyovu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kiyovu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Musanze Clean Sheet 68%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musanze Kiyovu
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Kiyovu
1:0
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Kiyovu
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Musanze
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Kiyovu
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Musanze
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musanze Compare

Top Goalscorer Munyurangabo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Kiyovu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 41 / 100
Kiyovu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musanze Kiyovu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musanze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musanze has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Musanze scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Kiyovu let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Kiyovu
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Musanze

(Home)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
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Kiyovu

(Away)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
5 Al-Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Rayon Sport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Al-Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Kigali FC 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)