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Musanze vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Musanze Logo

Musanze

3 - 1
FT
Marines Logo

Marines

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Musanze in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Musanze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Musanze
35%
Draws
35%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Marines at 1.45 per game, Musanze at 1.21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Musanze Clean Sheet 20%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musanze Marines
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
3:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
1:1
May 2, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 36 / 100
Marines 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musanze Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musanze scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Marines let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Musanze has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Marines
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Musanze

(Home)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)