Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Musanze vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Musanze host Police in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Musanze at 0.96 goals for, 1.11 against; Police at 0.69 for, 0.66 against. Past meetings favor Musanze slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 0.63) back Police to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Musanze
15%
Draws
51%
Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musanze come out ahead of Police on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Musanze taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Musanze Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musanze Police
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.96 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Police
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Musanze
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Musanze
3:3
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Police
0:1
May 12, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Police
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 36 / 100
Police 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musanze Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Police lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Musanze found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Police
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Musanze

(Home)
11 Oct
Musanze
0 : 1
Gasogi United
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
11 Oct
Sunrise
1 : 0
Police
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Mukura Victory Sports 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
5 Sunrise 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Amagaju 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
8 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
9 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
10 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
12 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
13 Gasogi United 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
14 Police 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
18 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)