Sport Picks

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Mushuc Runa vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mushuc Runa host Delfin in the Liga Pro. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mushuc Runa at 1.14 goals for, 1.31 against; Delfin at 0.82 for, 0.96 against. Head-to-head, Mushuc Runa have won 2 to Delfin's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring Mushuc Runa. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Mushuc Runa
30%
Draws
8%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mushuc Runa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mushuc Runa at 1.14 per game, Delfin at 0.82.
  • Mushuc Runa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 18%
Delfin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Delfin
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
4:2
May 19, 2024 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 67 / 100
Delfin 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mushuc Runa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Mushuc Runa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Mushuc Runa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Delfin
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0
Barcelona SC
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3
Mushuc Runa
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2
Libertad
24 Jul
Emelec
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Delfin

(Away)
15 Aug
Independiente del Valle
3 : 2
Delfin
09 Aug
Delfin
1 : 1
Orense
04 Aug
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Delfin
26 Jul
Delfin
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
21 Jul
Libertad
1 : 0
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 25 21 1 3 61:24 64
2 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 25 11 7 7 40:22 40
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 25 9 8 8 26:25 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 25 8 8 9 32:34 32
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 25 9 4 12 22:32 31
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)