Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista

Mushuc Runa

1 - 3

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Flor F.

37'

Ade R.

37'

Carabali F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Mushuc Runa and LDU Quito finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Mushuc Runa

28%

Draws

50%

LDU Quito

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans LDU Quito's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 16%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mushuc Runa	LDU Quito
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	8	15
Draws	10	7
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Apr 14, 2025 Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 26, 2024 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

May 4, 2024 Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyverson

2 Goals

Assists Leader Cornejo F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 23 / 100

LDU Quito 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mushuc Runa LDU Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

LDU Quito let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mushuc Runa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS LDU Quito

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	18	14	1	3	40:19	43
2	Aucas	18	9	5	4	21:16	32
3	Barcelona SC	18	8	6	4	20:13	30
4	Macara	19	8	5	6	20:19	29
5	LDU Quito	18	8	4	6	19:14	28
6	Dep. Cuenca	18	8	3	7	18:20	27
7	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
8	Emelec	18	6	6	6	14:17	24
9	Tecnico U.	18	7	2	9	19:19	23
10	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
11	Orense	18	6	5	7	22:24	23
12	Guayaquil City	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
13	Mushuc Runa	19	5	6	8	24:29	21
14	Libertad	18	4	6	8	17:25	18
15	Delfin	18	4	5	9	10:18	17
16	Manta	18	3	4	11	7:23	13