Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Flor F.
37'
Ade R.
37'
Carabali F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Mushuc Runa and LDU Quito finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mushuc Runa
35%
Draws
37%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 27%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa LDU Quito
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
May 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
1:3
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Deyverson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cornejo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 38 / 100
LDU Quito 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Quito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

LDU Quito let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mushuc Runa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS LDU Quito
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
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LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)