Sport Picks
Mushuc Runa vs Leones del Norte
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 
Match Events
7'
7'
Solano C.
21'
21'
Madero P.
22'
22'
Ibarra R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leones del Norte lately — more wins on the board than Mushuc Runa.
- Mushuc Runa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mushuc Runa | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Leones del Norte
1:1
May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mushuc Runa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Leones del Norte Compare
Top Goalscorer Solano C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mushuc Runa 42 / 100
Leones del Norte 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mushuc Runa Leones del Norte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mushuc Runa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Leones del Norte let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Mushuc Runa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mushuc Runa VS Leones del Norte
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mushuc Runa
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
27 Jul
Mushuc Runa
0 : 2 Libertad
20 Jul
Mushuc Runa
2 : 1 Orense
Page 1 of 3
Leones del Norte
(Away) 19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2 Leones del Norte
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
