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Mushuc Runa vs Manta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Manta Logo

Manta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mushuc Runa host Manta in the Liga Pro. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mushuc Runa have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Manta's 0.63 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Mushuc Runa slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.88, favoring Mushuc Runa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mushuc Runa
35%
Draws
45%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched Mushuc Runa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Manta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Mushuc Runa
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Manta
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Mushuc Runa
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Manta
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Manta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 32 / 100
Manta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Manta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mushuc Runa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Manta
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Manta

(Away)
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 32 10 3 19 29:44 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 32 7 6 19 20:43 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)