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Musselburgh vs Caledonian Braves Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Murray R.
47'
Dempster A.
57' Event
Barker J.
Assist: Auriemma G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Musselburgh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Musselburgh
20%
Draws
42%
Caledonian Braves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caledonian Braves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Caledonian Braves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Caledonian Braves taking it.
  • Caledonian Braves arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Musselburgh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Caledonian Braves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musselburgh Caledonian Braves
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.7 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Scottish Cup
Musselburgh vs Caledonian Braves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Barker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Court J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Caledonian Braves Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 10 / 100
Caledonian Braves 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musselburgh Caledonian Braves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caledonian Braves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Caledonian Braves has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Musselburgh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Caledonian Braves
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Caledonian Braves

(Away)
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
15 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 2
Caledonian Braves
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
29 Aug
Caledonian Braves
5 : 2
Kilwinning Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Arbroath -
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Queen of the South -
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St. Mirren -
Spartans -
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Cowdenbeath 3
Rutherglen 2
Brechin 1
Newtongrange Star 0
Huntly 3
Wick Academy 2
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Hearts -
Dundee FC -
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Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
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Alloa -
Dundonald Bluebell 1
Inverurie Loco Works 2
Dundee North End 4
Tranent FC 0
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Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
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Clyde -
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Kelty Hearts -
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Aberdeen -
Forres Mechanics 1
Jeanfield Swifts 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Dunfermline -
Burntisland Shipyard 1
Irvine Meadow 4
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Civil Service Strollers 3
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Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
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Fraserburgh 8
Rothes 0
Broomhill 0
Turriff United 1
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Annan -
Queen's Park -
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Partick -
Peterhead -
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East Stirlingshire 2
Lochee United 3
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Montrose -
Ross County -
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Livingston -
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Brora Rangers 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Formartine Utd 2
Whitehill Welfare 0
Cove Rangers -
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Inverness -
Forfar Athletic -
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Berwick 4
Cupar Hearts 2
Stirling -
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Dunbar United 1
Boness Athletic 4
St Johnstone -
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Motherwell -
East Fife -
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Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Banks O' Dee 1
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Hamilton -
Musselburgh 1
Darvel FC 0
Stirling University 0
Caledonian Braves 2
Tynecastle 2
Hill Of Beath 3
Deveronvale 2
Boness United 4
Celtic -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 2
Gretna 2008 0
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Bonnyrigg Rose -
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Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Lossiemouth 1
Clachnacuddin 3
Nairn County 1
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Raith -
Threave Rovers 6
Vale Of Leithen 1
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Stranraer -
Albion Rovers 1
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Dalkeith Thistle FC 0
Broxburn Athletic 4
Ayr -
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Morton -
Hibernian -
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Keith 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Clydebank FC 3
Girvan 1
Strathspey Thistle 0
Sauchie 6
Buckie Thistle 2
Carluke Rovers FC 1
1/64-finals
Arbroath -
TBD -
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Queen of the South -
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St. Mirren -
Spartans 1
Cowdenbeath 2
Brechin 3
Huntly 2
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Hearts -
Dundee FC -
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Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
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Alloa -
Inverurie Loco Works 1
Dundee North End 3
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Airdrieonians -
Elgin City 2
Clyde 1
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Kelty Hearts -
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Aberdeen -
Jeanfield Swifts 1
Edinburgh City 2
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Dunfermline -
Irvine Meadow 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
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Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
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Fraserburgh 3
Turriff United 1
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Annan -
Queen's Park -
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Partick -
Peterhead 6
Lochee United 3
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Montrose -
Ross County -
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Livingston -
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Brora Rangers 2
Formartine Utd 1
Cove Rangers -
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Inverness -
Forfar Athletic 1
Berwick 0
Stirling 6
Boness Athletic 0
St Johnstone -
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Motherwell -
East Fife 0
Banks O' Dee 1
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Hamilton -
Musselburgh 2
Caledonian Braves 1
Hill Of Beath 0
Boness United 2
Celtic -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
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Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Clachnacuddin 0
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Raith -
Threave Rovers 2
Stranraer 3
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Broxburn Athletic 1
Ayr -
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Morton -
Hibernian -
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Keith 0
Clydebank FC 3
Sauchie 0
Buckie Thistle 2
1/32-finals
Arbroath 0
Queen of the South 1
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St. Mirren -
Cowdenbeath 1
Brechin 4
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Hearts -
Dundee FC -
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Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton 3
Alloa 2
Dundee North End 0
Airdrieonians 1
Elgin City 3
Kelty Hearts 2
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Aberdeen -
Edinburgh City 1
Dunfermline 2
Irvine Meadow 0
Stenhousemuir 5
Rangers -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 2
Annan 0
Queen's Park 3
Partick 2
Peterhead 2
Montrose 3
Ross County -
TBD -
Livingston 2
Brora Rangers 0
Cove Rangers 2
Inverness 0
Forfar Athletic 4
Stirling 3
St Johnstone -
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Motherwell -
Banks O' Dee 1
Hamilton 2
Musselburgh 3
Boness United 1
Celtic -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 1
Falkirk 3
Linlithgow Rose 0
Raith 4
Stranraer 1
Broxburn Athletic 2
Ayr 2
Morton 0
Hibernian -
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Clydebank FC 2
Buckie Thistle 0
1/16-finals
Queen of the South 1
St. Mirren 3
Brechin 1
Hearts 4
Dundee FC 1
Dundee Utd 0
Dumbarton 1
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 3
Stenhousemuir 0
Rangers 5
Fraserburgh 0
Queen's Park 3
Montrose 2
Ross County 2
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 2
Forfar Athletic 0
St Johnstone 1
Motherwell 0
Hamilton 3
Musselburgh 1
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Falkirk 1
Raith 2
Broxburn Athletic 0
Ayr 8
Hibernian 3
Clydebank FC 0
1/8-finals
St. Mirren 1
Hearts 2
Dundee FC 4
Airdrieonians 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 0
Rangers 0
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 0
St Johnstone 1
Hamilton 0
Celtic 5
Raith 0
Ayr 0
Hibernian 1
Quarter-finals
Hearts 3
Dundee FC 1
Aberdeen 4
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 0
St Johnstone 1
Celtic 2
Hibernian 0
Semi-finals
Hearts 1
Aberdeen 2
St Johnstone 0
Celtic 5
Final
Aberdeen 2
Celtic 1