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Musspor vs Kirklarelispor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Musspor play Kirklarelispor in the 2. Lig Red Group. Musspor are favorites here. Recently, Musspor averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kirklarelispor averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Musspor won 2, Kirklarelispor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Musspor and 1.06 for Kirklarelispor. This points to a Musspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Musspor
23%
Draws
21%
Kirklarelispor
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Musspor picked up more points recently compared to Kirklarelispor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Musspor Clean Sheet 22%
Kirklarelispor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musspor Kirklarelispor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.42 1.27
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Musspor vs Kirklarelispor
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Musspor
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Asliyuksek E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kirklarelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musspor 55 / 100
Kirklarelispor 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musspor Kirklarelispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Musspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Musspor attacking → ← attacking Kirklarelispor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musspor scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Kirklarelispor let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Musspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kirklarelispor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 32
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52