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Must IPO vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Araujo B.
30' Event
Choi D. C.
52' Event
Choi D. C.

AI Match Summary

Must IPO host Cheng Fung in the Elite League 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Must IPO at 4.13 goals for, 0.5 against; Cheng Fung at 2.13 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Must IPO have won 3 to Cheng Fung's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:6. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.31, favoring Must IPO. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Must IPO
6%
Draws
4%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Must IPO has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cheng Fung.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Must IPO.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Elite League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 68%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Must IPO Cheng Fung
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 4.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:6
Apr 5, 2026 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Elite League
Must IPO vs Cheng Fung
7:0
Jun 29, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
1:10
Mar 7, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Must IPO
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi D. C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Cheng Fung Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Must IPO 95 / 100
Cheng Fung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Must IPO Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Must IPO scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Cheng Fung let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Must IPO went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cheng Fung lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Must IPO VS Cheng Fung
4.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO17142178:1044
2Shao Jiang17141264:1343
3University of Macau1782733:3226
4Benfica1781831:2825
5Cheng Fung1755722:4220