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Must IPO vs Monte Carlo Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Silva Patriota D.
35' Event
Leong K.
41' Event
Ho C. F.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2023 game between Must IPO and Monte Carlo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Must IPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Must IPO
20%
Draws
28%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Must IPO come out ahead of Monte Carlo on wins alone.
  • Must IPO are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Must IPO have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 20%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Must IPO Monte Carlo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 28 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 4.58 2.3
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 Elite League
Must IPO vs Monte Carlo
3:0
Jul 23, 2023 Elite League
Must IPO vs Monte Carlo
4:0
Apr 22, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Must IPO
1:3
May 28, 2022 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Must IPO
0:3
Feb 26, 2022 Elite League
Must IPO vs Monte Carlo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Ho C. F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Patriota D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.63
Avg xA / game 1.71

Monte Carlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Must IPO 85 / 100
Monte Carlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Must IPO Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Must IPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Must IPO scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Must IPO has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Monte Carlo has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Must IPO VS -
5.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Must IPO

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)