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Mutilvera vs Gazte Berriak

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
44' Event
Penalty Missed
80'

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mutilvera
25%
Draws
35%
Gazte Berriak
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gazte Berriak haven't matched Mutilvera's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 13%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Gazte Berriak
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Gazte Berriak
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 31 / 100
Gazte Berriak 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Gazte Berriak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gazte Berriak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gazte Berriak conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Mutilvera's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mutilvera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Gazte Berriak
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Gazte Berriak

(Away)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Ezcabarte 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
3 Aoiz 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mutilvera 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Beti Kozkor 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Doneztebe FT 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
7 Subiza 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 AD San Juan 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
9 Gazte Berriak 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Cortes 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 CD Cantolagua 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
12 CD Beti Onak 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Huarte 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Pamplona 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Bidezarra 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Valle Egues 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
17 Cirbonero 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
18 Txantrea 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)