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Mutilvera vs Gazte Berriak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aranda I.
80'
Claudio O.
89'
Galhardo T.

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mutilvera
20%
Draws
28%
Gazte Berriak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mutilvera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gazte Berriak haven't matched Mutilvera's recent run of results.
  • Mutilvera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 20%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Gazte Berriak
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs Gazte Berriak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gazte Berriak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 85 / 100
Gazte Berriak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Gazte Berriak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutilvera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mutilvera remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mutilvera's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gazte Berriak has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Gazte Berriak
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
31 Oct
Cortes
1 : 1
Mutilvera
24 Oct
Mutilvera
3 : 0
Beti Kozkor
17 Oct
Bidezarra
1 : 3
Mutilvera
10 Oct
Mutilvera
1 : 0
AD San Juan
04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Gazte Berriak

(Away)
31 Oct
Ezcabarte
2 : 1
Gazte Berriak
25 Oct
Gazte Berriak
0 : 0
Valle Egues
18 Oct
Pamplona
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
09 Oct
Huarte
0 : 2
Gazte Berriak
04 Oct
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
Doneztebe FT
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 9 8 1 0 26:4 25
2 Mutilvera 9 6 3 0 15:3 21
3 Beti Kozkor 9 5 1 3 10:9 16
4 AD San Juan 9 4 2 3 17:10 14
5 Ezcabarte 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Gazte Berriak 9 4 2 3 9:7 14
7 Subiza 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Valle Egues 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
9 Txantrea 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
10 Doneztebe FT 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Aoiz 9 2 5 2 8:7 11
12 Cirbonero 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
13 CD Cantolagua 9 3 0 6 5:20 9
14 CD Beti Onak 9 1 5 3 11:14 8
15 Pamplona 9 1 4 4 7:14 7
16 Huarte 9 1 4 4 7:15 7
17 Cortes 9 1 3 5 4:16 6
18 Bidezarra 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)