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Mutilvera vs Real Union

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Iradi M.
69' Event
Gaubeka B.
72' Event
Arruti M.

AI Match Summary

Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mutilvera
6%
Draws
90%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Union lately — more wins on the board than Mutilvera.
  • Win probability leans Real Union's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Real Union
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Real Union
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Mutilvera
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Arocena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Iradi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaubeka B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 10 / 100
Real Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mutilvera scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Real Union let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mutilvera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Real Union
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 7

Real Union

(Away)
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
26 Apr
Zaragoza B
3 : 1
Real Union
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)