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Mutilvera vs Real Union

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Iradi M.
69' Event
Gaubeka B.
72' Event
Arruti M.

AI Match Summary

Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mutilvera
30%
Draws
61%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Union lately — more wins on the board than Mutilvera.
  • Win probability leans Real Union's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Real Union
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.9 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Real Union
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Mutilvera
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Arocena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Iradi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaubeka B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 10 / 100
Real Union 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Real Union let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Mutilvera scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Mutilvera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Real Union
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

Real Union

(Away)
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1
Eibar
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)