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Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mutondo Stars host Green Buffaloes FC in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mutondo Stars have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Green Buffaloes FC's 0.71 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Mutondo Stars have won 1 to Green Buffaloes FC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.69, favoring Green Buffaloes FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mutondo Stars
15%
Draws
39%
Green Buffaloes FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mutondo Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Green Buffaloes FC have won more games recently than Mutondo Stars.
  • Model gives Mutondo Stars a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Green Buffaloes FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:4
Apr 28, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Green Buffaloes FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 36 / 100
Green Buffaloes FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Green Buffaloes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Buffaloes FC let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mutondo Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Green Buffaloes FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Green Buffaloes FC
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6

Green Buffaloes FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
2 : 0
Chirundu United
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)