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Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Mutondo Stars and Mufulira Wanderers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mutondo Stars
35%
Draws
39%
Mufulira Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mufulira Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mufulira Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mufulira Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Mufulira Wanderers
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Mutondo Stars
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 20 / 100
Mufulira Wanderers 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Mufulira Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mufulira Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutondo Stars's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mufulira Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mutondo Stars remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Mufulira Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 0.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
05 Nov
Mutondo Stars
1 : 1
Mufulira Wanderers
01 Nov
Mutondo Stars
1 : 1
Roan United
24 Oct
Zesco
5 : 0
Mutondo Stars
18 Oct
Chirundu United
3 : 0
Mutondo Stars
10 Oct
Kabwe
3 : 2
Mutondo Stars
Page 1 of 6

Mufulira Wanderers

(Away)
05 Nov
Mutondo Stars
1 : 1
Mufulira Wanderers
01 Nov
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
25 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 1
Chirundu United
18 Oct
Zesco
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
10 Oct
Red Arrows
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 6 5 0 1 11:6 15
2 Nkana 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Muza Fc 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Zanaco 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
5 Power Dynamos 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Nchanga Rangers 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
7 Kansanshi 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
8 Trident 6 1 1 4 10:9 4
9 NAPSA Stars 6 0 4 2 4:6 4
10 Makeni All Stars 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Green Buffaloes FC 6 3 3 0 5:1 12
3 Zesco 7 2 4 1 10:2 10
4 Chirundu United 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
5 Nkwazi 6 1 4 1 2:2 7
6 Kabwe 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
7 Roan United 6 1 3 2 4:8 6
8 Red Arrows 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
9 Mufulira Wanderers 6 0 3 3 2:7 3
10 Mutondo Stars 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)