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Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mutondo Stars
20%
Draws
47%
NAPSA Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars haven't matched NAPSA Stars's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 20%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars NAPSA Stars
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Mutondo Stars
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
May 17, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Dec 19, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs NAPSA Stars
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 36 / 100
NAPSA Stars 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars NAPSA Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAPSA Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mutondo Stars stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

NAPSA Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS NAPSA Stars
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
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NAPSA Stars

(Away)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
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