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Muttenz vs Thalwil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the 1.Liga Classic Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Muttenz have averaged 1.89 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Thalwil's 1.14 scored and 2.54 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Muttenz. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Muttenz
35%
Draws
34%
Thalwil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muttenz lately — more wins on the board than Thalwil.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Muttenz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Muttenz Clean Sheet 17%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muttenz Thalwil
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.89 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muttenz 30 / 100
Thalwil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muttenz Thalwil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muttenz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muttenz's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Thalwil let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Muttenz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Muttenz VS Thalwil
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muttenz

(Home)
03 Oct
Muttenz
2 : 2
Black Stars
27 Sept
Munsingen
1 : 2
Muttenz
19 Sept
Muttenz
1 : 3
Courtetelle
12 Sept
Concordia
0 : 3
Muttenz
05 Sept
Muttenz
0 : 0
Delemont
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Thalwil

(Away)
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
13 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Thalwil
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Collina d'Oro -
Taverne -
Freienbach -
Wettswil-Bonstetten -
Baden -
Wohlen -
Dietikon -
Black Stars -
Tuggen -
Schotz -
Gossau -
Zug -
Muri-Gumligen -
USI Azzurri -
Solothurn -
Echallens -
Courtetelle -
Meyrin -
Oberwallis Naters -
La Chaux-De-Fonds -
Mendrisio -
Kosova -
Chenois -
Stade Payerne -
Lancy -
Portalban -
Muttenz -
Thalwil -
Concordia -
Locarno -
FC Widnau -
Buochs -
Coffrane -
Prishtina Bern -
Munsingen -
Vevey -
Bassecourt -
Delemont -
Langenthal -
Monthey -
Final
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