Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muttenz vs Thun II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Napoli N.
26' Event
Krasniqi K.
89' Event
Kirilmaz K.

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 2 2024/2025 game between Muttenz and Thun II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muttenz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Muttenz
20%
Draws
33%
Thun II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muttenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Muttenz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Muttenz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Muttenz Clean Sheet 12%
Thun II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muttenz Thun II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.91 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Muttenz vs Thun II
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Thun II vs Muttenz
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Thun II vs Muttenz
3:3
Aug 12, 2023 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Muttenz vs Thun II
1:2
Mar 11, 2012 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Thun II vs Muttenz
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muttenz Compare

Top Goalscorer Napoli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirilmaz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Thun II Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muttenz 65 / 100
Thun II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muttenz Thun II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muttenz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muttenz scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Thun II let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Muttenz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muttenz VS Thun II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Muttenz

(Home)
12 Sept
Concordia
0 : 3
Muttenz
05 Sept
Muttenz
0 : 0
Delemont
30 Aug
Langenthal
2 : 1
Muttenz
22 Aug
Muttenz
3 : 1
Buochs
15 Aug
Grasshopper II
1 : 2
Muttenz
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Thun II

(Away)
12 Sept
Black Stars
2 : 2
Thun II
05 Sept
Thun II
4 : 1
Munsingen
29 Aug
Courtetelle
5 : 2
Thun II
22 Aug
Thun II
2 : 1
Concordia
14 Aug
Delemont
2 : 1
Thun II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grasshopper II 30 19 7 4 71:27 64
2 Prishtina Bern 30 14 9 7 53:39 51
3 Schotz 30 12 10 8 63:56 46
4 Black Stars 30 11 11 8 52:47 44
5 Courtetelle 30 11 11 8 34:29 44
6 Solothurn 30 12 6 12 45:44 42
7 Munsingen 30 10 10 10 48:38 40
8 Dietikon 30 10 10 10 36:39 40
9 Langenthal 30 11 7 12 41:46 40
10 Bassecourt 30 9 11 10 38:38 38
11 Wohlen 30 10 8 12 38:51 38
12 Concordia 30 9 9 12 44:45 36
13 Muttenz 30 10 6 14 51:61 36
14 Besa Biel/Bienne 30 9 6 15 35:53 33
15 Rotkreuz 30 7 9 14 40:59 30
16 Thun II 30 6 10 14 44:61 28
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)