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Muzinga vs Aigle Noir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muzinga host Aigle Noir in the Primus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aigle Noir have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Muzinga have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Aigle Noir slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Aigle Noir. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Muzinga
35%
Draws
23%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Muzinga haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Muzinga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muzinga Aigle Noir
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Muzinga
4:1
Oct 1, 2025 Primus League
Muzinga vs Aigle Noir
2:2
Apr 30, 2021 Primus League
Muzinga vs Aigle Noir
1:4
Sep 26, 2020 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Muzinga
2:0
Jan 29, 2017 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Muzinga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muzinga 58 / 100
Aigle Noir 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muzinga Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Muzinga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Muzinga scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Aigle Noir has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muzinga VS Aigle Noir
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muzinga

(Home)
18 Oct
Vital'O
0 : 0
Muzinga
13 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Young Star
10 Oct
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 2
Muzinga
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
17 Oct
Aigle Noir
1 : 1
Royal Vision
10 Oct
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 8 6 2 0 23:4 20
2 Muzinga 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 Le Messager Ngozi 6 4 1 1 6:4 13
4 Aigle Noir 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Olympic Star 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
6 Ngozi City 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Rukinzo 5 3 2 0 12:2 11
8 Bumamuru 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
9 Musongati 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
10 Vital'O 7 2 3 2 8:13 9
11 Flambeau du Centre 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
12 Inter Star 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Never Give Up Academy 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kayanza United 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
15 Young Star 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
16 Panthere Noir 6 0 1 5 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)