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Muzinga vs Rukinzo

Burundi Burundi

Primus League 2025/2026
Muzinga Logo

Muzinga

1 - 1
FT
Rukinzo Logo

Rukinzo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primus League 2025/2026 game between Muzinga and Rukinzo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Muzinga
30%
Draws
23%
Rukinzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rukinzo's 1.58 goals per match outpaces what Muzinga have produced (1.3).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Muzinga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 20%
Rukinzo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muzinga Rukinzo
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.3 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Muzinga vs Rukinzo
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Muzinga
0:2
Jan 23, 2021 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Muzinga
3:1
Dec 6, 2020 Primus League
Muzinga vs Rukinzo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muzinga 40 / 100
Rukinzo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muzinga Rukinzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muzinga found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Muzinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Rukinzo let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Muzinga VS Rukinzo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
29% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muzinga

(Home)
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
23 Aug
Le Messager Ngozi
2 : 1
Muzinga
14 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
25 Apr
Muzinga
0 : 0
Kayanza United
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Rukinzo

(Away)
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
14 Aug
Rukinzo
2 : 1
Panthere Noir
08 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Rukinzo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Noir 30 21 8 1 62:25 71
2 Musongati 30 17 8 5 42:21 59
3 Flambeau du Centre 30 16 8 6 42:23 56
4 Royal Vision 30 17 2 11 47:31 53
5 Rukinzo 30 14 8 8 49:28 50
6 Vital'O 30 14 8 8 45:27 50
7 Bumamuru 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
8 Muzinga 30 11 10 9 37:38 43
9 Olympic Star 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
10 Kayanza United 30 8 12 10 40:45 36
11 Le Messager Ngozi 30 8 9 13 31:33 33
12 Ngozi City 30 8 9 13 37:43 33
13 Inter Star 30 8 8 14 37:42 32
14 Dynamik 30 8 5 17 35:58 29
15 Garage Express 30 3 9 18 15:61 18
16 Green Farmers 30 1 4 25 25:84 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)