Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mwadui vs Dodoma Jiji

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Kiango W.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Mwadui and Dodoma Jiji finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mwadui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mwadui
15%
Draws
85%
Dodoma Jiji
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dodoma Jiji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dodoma Jiji carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dodoma Jiji's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 20%
Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mwadui Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.7 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Dodoma Jiji
1:0
Sep 6, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Dodoma Jiji vs Mwadui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mwadui Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiango W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mwadui 10 / 100
Dodoma Jiji 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mwadui Dodoma Jiji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dodoma Jiji Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mwadui's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dodoma Jiji let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Dodoma Jiji registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dodoma Jiji
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mwadui

(Home)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

Dodoma Jiji

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)