Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Samwel J.
90'
90'
Omar A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Mwadui and Ndanda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ndanda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ndanda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ndanda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ndanda's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 17%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwadui | Ndanda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 25 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Ndanda
0:2
Sep 15, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mwadui
0:0
May 28, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Ndanda
3:1
Jan 3, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Ndanda
3:0
May 23, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mwadui
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mwadui Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Ndanda Compare
Top Goalscorer Samwel J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwadui 10 / 100
Ndanda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwadui Ndanda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ndanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Mwadui scored in 51% of their last 35 games.
Ndanda let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Ndanda lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mwadui VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwadui
(Home) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
11 May
Mwadui
0 : 3 Kagera Sugar
18 Apr
Mwadui
0 : 1 Simba
06 Mar
Mwadui
0 : 0 Azam
Page 1 of 4
Ndanda
(Away) 26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1 Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Ndanda
23 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 0 Ndanda
14 Mar
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Ndanda
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
