Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kibera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kibera lately — more wins on the board than Mwatate United.
- Win probability leans Kibera's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mwatate United Clean Sheet 19%
Kibera Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwatate United | Kibera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Super League
Mwatate United vs Kibera
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Mwatate United
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs Mwatate United
0:0
Nov 4, 2023 Super League
Mwatate United vs Kibera
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 Super League
Kibera vs Mwatate United
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwatate United 16 / 100
Kibera 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwatate United Kibera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kibera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kibera has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Kibera's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Mwatate United's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mwatate United VS Kibera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwatate United
(Home) 13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0 Mwatate United
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0 Mwatate United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
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07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
10 May
Mwatate United
1 : 1 Kibera
18 Apr
Mwatate United
3 : 1 Vihiga United
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Kibera
(Away) 13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0 Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2 MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1 Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1 Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0 Kibera
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13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0 Kibera
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1 Kibera
23 May
Migori
1 : 0 Kibera
10 May
Mwatate United
1 : 1 Kibera
19 Apr
Luanda Villa
0 : 1 Kibera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
