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Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U23 Patriot Stadium, Bekasi
Myanmar U23 Logo

Myanmar U23

4 - 4
FT
Timor-Leste U23 Logo

Timor-Leste U23

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Aung Shine Wanna
Assist: Thein Zaw Win
37'
Luro E.
39' Event
Thein Zaw Win
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ASEAN Championship U23 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Myanmar U23
35%
Draws
37%
Timor-Leste U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Timor-Leste U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Myanmar U23 have won more games recently than Timor-Leste U23.
  • Timor-Leste U23 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship U23 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Myanmar U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Myanmar U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar U23 Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.86 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:4
May 8, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Myanmar U23
2:3
Nov 29, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Myanmar U23
1:3
Mar 22, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
7:0
Dec 9, 2013 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Shine Wanna
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Than Toe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenivio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar U23 12 / 100
Timor-Leste U23 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Myanmar U23 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Timor-Leste U23 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Myanmar U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar U23 VS Timor-Leste U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
03 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
22 Jul
Thailand U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
2 Myanmar U23 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 1 1 4:8 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)