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Stadium Background

Myanmar vs Afghanistan

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Myanmar Logo

Myanmar

2 - 1
FT
Afghanistan Logo

Afghanistan

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Amanullah S.
14' Event
Popalzay O.
Assist: Musawi O.
21'
Zurmati S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
34%
Afghanistan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Myanmar have won more games recently than Afghanistan.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Myanmar taking it.
  • Myanmar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Myanmar, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Myanmar have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 68%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Afghanistan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.54
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Myanmar
1:2
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Myanmar vs Afghanistan
2:1
Oct 16, 2018 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Myanmar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lwin M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Afghanistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Popalzay O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 95 / 100
Afghanistan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Afghanistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Afghanistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Afghanistan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Afghanistan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

Afghanistan

(Away)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)