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NAC Breda vs FC Emmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda host FC Emmen in the Eerste Divisie. This one's hard to separate. FC Emmen have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while NAC Breda have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor NAC Breda slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward FC Emmen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
NAC Breda
15%
Draws
41%
FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FC Emmen have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
  • NAC Breda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 16%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda FC Emmen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs NAC Breda
0:3
May 21, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs FC Emmen
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs NAC Breda
2:3
Sep 22, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs FC Emmen
1:3
Jun 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs NAC Breda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 57 / 100
FC Emmen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda FC Emmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: NAC Breda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

NAC Breda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Emmen let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS FC Emmen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Oct
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 3
NAC Breda
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
Page 1 of 6

FC Emmen

(Away)
01 Nov
FC Emmen
0 : 5
Den Bosch
29 Oct
Groningen
0 : 2
FC Emmen
23 Oct
Vitesse
0 : 2
FC Emmen
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1
Almere City
09 Oct
Dordrecht
0 : 3
FC Emmen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)