Sport Picks
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda 
Match Events
18'
18'
Nazih I.
19'
19'
Dundas N.
Assist: Sbai Y.
27'
27'
Sub
Nazih I. In: Gladon P.
Out: Nazih I.
AI Match Summary
Jong Utrecht in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Utrecht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAC Breda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Jong Utrecht haven't matched NAC Breda's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans NAC Breda's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 12%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
2:3
Mar 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Oct 2, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs NAC Breda
1:1
Feb 20, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs NAC Breda
4:1
Sep 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
NAC Breda Compare
Top Goalscorer Gladon P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dundas N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chigozie Owen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NAC Breda 83 / 100
Jong Utrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NAC Breda Jong Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
NAC Breda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
NAC Breda scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
NAC Breda VS Jong Utrecht
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
NAC Breda
(Home) 02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Oct
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 3 NAC Breda
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1 Heracles
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2 NAC Breda
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1 Heracles
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0 Maastricht
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2 Eindhoven FC
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 3
Jong Utrecht
(Away) 02 Nov
Jong Utrecht
3 : 2 Dordrecht
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2 Jong Utrecht
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2 Roda
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
FC Volendam
6 : 2 Jong Utrecht
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
