Sport Picks
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda 
Match Events
18'
18'
Nazih I.
19'
19'
Dundas N.
Assist: Sbai Y.
27'
27'
Sub
Nazih I. In: Gladon P.
Out: Nazih I.
AI Match Summary
Jong Utrecht in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Utrecht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Utrecht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong Utrecht haven't matched NAC Breda's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Jong Utrecht's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
2:3
Mar 1, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Oct 2, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs NAC Breda
1:1
Feb 20, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong Utrecht vs NAC Breda
4:1
Sep 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
NAC Breda Compare
Top Goalscorer Gladon P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Jong Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Dundas N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chigozie Owen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NAC Breda 15 / 100
Jong Utrecht 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NAC Breda Jong Utrecht
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jong Utrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong Utrecht let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
NAC Breda scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
NAC Breda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
NAC Breda VS Jong Utrecht
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
NAC Breda
(Home) 11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2 NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2 NAC Breda
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2 Jong Ajax
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2 Venlo
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2 OFI Crete
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
Page 1 of 3
Jong Utrecht
(Away) 14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 Eindhoven FC
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3 Jong Utrecht
31 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
26 Jul
Dortmund II
5 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Venlo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 7 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Emmen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 9 | Jong PSV | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 13 | Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 18 | TOP Oss | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 4 |
| 20 | Dordrecht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
