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Stadium Background

NAC Breda vs Venlo

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda Logo

NAC Breda

Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Venlo Logo

Venlo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda host Venlo in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. NAC Breda have averaged 1 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Venlo's 1.52 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, NAC Breda have won 3 to Venlo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.75) back Venlo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
NAC Breda
15%
Draws
26%
Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Venlo have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
  • Model gives NAC Breda a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 12%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Venlo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
1:0
Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs NAC Breda
3:1
Mar 31, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs NAC Breda
1:3
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
1:2
Apr 8, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 38 / 100
Venlo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Venlo conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

NAC Breda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Venlo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Venlo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0
NAC Breda
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2
OFI Crete
25 Jul
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 2
NAC Breda
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2
NAC Breda
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Venlo

(Away)
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
25 Jul
Venlo
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln
21 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
5 : 3
Venlo
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
11 Jul
De Treffers
2 : 2
Venlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Venlo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Den Bosch 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Dordrecht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Eindhoven FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 FC Emmen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Helmond Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Maastricht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Almere City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 TOP Oss 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 FC Volendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Waalwijk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 NAC Breda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Roda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Vitesse 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Heracles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Jong PSV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Jong Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Jong AZ Alkmaar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Jong Utrecht 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)