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NAC Breda vs Venlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Zuliani E.
24'
Sub
Brym C. In: Nazih I.
Out: Brym C.
41'
Van den Bergh J.

AI Match Summary

Venlo in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
NAC Breda
15%
Draws
48%
Venlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Venlo have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Venlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Venlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
0:2
Mar 15, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
1:0
Sep 15, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs NAC Breda
3:1
Mar 31, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs NAC Breda
1:3
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Venlo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuliani E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 34 / 100
Venlo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Venlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Venlo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

NAC Breda scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

NAC Breda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Venlo
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

Venlo

(Away)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)