Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and Hercilio Luz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nacao haven't matched Hercilio Luz's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Hercilio Luz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacao | Hercilio Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hercilio Luz conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Nacao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Nacao's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nacao
(Home)Hercilio Luz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:9 | 39 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 32 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:15 | 31 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Nacao | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 7 | Fluminense-SC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Guarani de Palhoca | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Gremio Juventus | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 16:23 | 17 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | 1 |
