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Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Daylan
4'
Daylan
11' Event
Bicca M.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Nacao U20 and Barra FC U20 finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barra FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nacao U20
20%
Draws
51%
Barra FC U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Barra FC U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barra FC U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Barra FC U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
1:7
Jun 1, 2026 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:0
May 24, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:0
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicca M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Acassio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikolas Francisco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.51
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 14 / 100
Barra FC U20 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Barra FC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nacao U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Barra FC U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Nacao U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Barra FC U20
1 Goals Scored 3.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 100%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Criciuma U20
3 : 0
Barra FC U20
09 Sept
Internacional U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
29 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
22 Aug
Barra FC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)