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Nacao U20 vs Figueirense U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Santos R.
54'
Ruan Borracha
56' Event
Ferreira T.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Nacao U20 and Figueirense U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nacao U20
33%
Draws
27%
Figueirense U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nacao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense U20 come out ahead of Nacao U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nacao U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Figueirense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Figueirense U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Nacao U20
2:0
May 9, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Figueirense U20
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Figueirense U20
0:4
Apr 11, 2025 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Nacao U20
5:1
May 21, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Figueirense U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Figueirense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 40 / 100
Figueirense U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Figueirense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Nacao U20's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Figueirense U20 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Figueirense U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Figueirense U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
04 Jul
Nacao U20
0 : 1
Criciuma U20
29 Jun
Joinville U20
0 : 1
Nacao U20
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Figueirense U20

(Away)
22 Jul
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Carlos Renaux U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
5 : 0
Figueirense U20
09 Jul
Concordia U20
1 : 0
Figueirense U20
27 Jun
Figueirense U20
3 : 2
Barra FC U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U2015103237:1733
2Criciuma U201595124:832
3Avai U201586133:1230
4Chapecoense-SC U201582531:2326
5Figueirense U201555521:2020
6Nacao U201553728:2518
7Concordia U201653814:2518
8Carlos Renaux U201443714:2715
9Joinville U201533913:2812
10Brusque U2015111314:444
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)