Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and Hercilio Luz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nacao haven't matched Hercilio Luz's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Hercilio Luz's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Hercilio Luz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacao | Hercilio Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacao Compare
Hercilio Luz Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacao found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Hercilio Luz let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nacao stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nacao
(Home)Hercilio Luz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 36:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:15 | 31 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Nacao | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Fluminense-SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Gremio Juventus | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Jaragua-SC | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | 1 |
