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Nachod vs Svitavy

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group C 2025/2026 game between Nachod and Svitavy finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svitavy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nachod
44%
Draws
20%
Svitavy
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svitavy come out ahead of Nachod on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svitavy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nachod Clean Sheet 11%
Svitavy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nachod Svitavy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 4. liga - Group C
Nachod vs Svitavy
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 4. liga - Group C
Svitavy vs Nachod
4:3
May 10, 2014 4. liga - Group C
Nachod vs Svitavy
3:0
Oct 13, 2013 4. liga - Group C
Svitavy vs Nachod
2:1
Jun 1, 2013 4. liga - Group C
Nachod vs Svitavy
5:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nachod 35 / 100
Svitavy 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nachod Svitavy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nachod's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Svitavy conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Nachod has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nachod VS Svitavy
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nachod

(Home)
13 Jun
Nachod
4 : 0
Hradek nad Nisou
07 Jun
Chrudim B
3 : 1
Nachod
30 May
Nachod
1 : 2
Prepere
23 May
Vysoke Myto
3 : 0
Nachod
16 May
Nachod
3 : 0
Dobrovice
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Svitavy

(Away)
13 Jun
Svitavy
2 : 4
Horni Redice
07 Jun
Police nad Metuji
2 : 4
Svitavy
31 May
Svitavy
4 : 3
Turnov
24 May
Hradek nad Nisou
3 : 3
Svitavy
17 May
Svitavy
1 : 2
Chrudim B
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