Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Serie D. ABC go into this one as the clear favorite. Nacional-AM (Manaus) have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against ABC's 1.63 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus) slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2001, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back ABC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
44%
Draws
20%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than ABC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 20%
ABC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional-AM (Manaus) ABC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2001 Serie B
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
2:1
Sep 2, 2001 Serie B
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Mar 27, 1985 Serie A Betano
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2:4
Feb 6, 1985 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs ABC
4:0
Sep 20, 1972 Serie A Betano
ABC vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 36 / 100
ABC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional-AM (Manaus) ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

ABC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS ABC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Home)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
Page 1 of 6

ABC

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC5
Ferroviario1
Cianorte1
ASA6
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Treze PB2
America RN3
Gama4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)3
Iguatu2
Luverdense1
ABC4
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa1
Sao Luiz1
CSA2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC-
ASA-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Gama-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
ABC-
Uberlandia-
CSA-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-