Sport Picks
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
Brazil
Copa Norte Arena da Amazonia, Manaus 
Match Events
5'
5'
Renanzinho
8'
8'
Custodio M.
21'
21'
Thiago Lopes
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-0, with Nacional-AM (Manaus) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Paysandu PA are scoring more at 1.88.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Paysandu PA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
2:4
May 20, 2026 Copa Norte
Paysandu PA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Norte
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
7:0
Aug 20, 2019 Copa Verde
Paysandu PA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Aug 8, 2019 Copa Verde
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Paysandu PA
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Renanzinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Custodio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Paysandu PA Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 68 / 100
Paysandu PA 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Paysandu PA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Paysandu PA
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
29 May
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 4 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 4
Paysandu PA
(Away) 12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3 Santa Cruz
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
14 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1 Paysandu PA
04 Jun
Anapolis
3 : 1 Paysandu PA
31 May
Figueirense
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
29 May
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 4 Paysandu PA
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)