Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Guarani Prediction & H2H Stats
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
24'
24'
Ramirez Antunez R. C.
61'
61'
Sub
Gomez G. In: Llano J.
Out: Gomez G.
68'
68'
Sub
Santa C. R. In: Bailone I.
Out: Santa C. R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Nacional Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
- Nacional Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Guarani
0:0
May 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Guarani
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 Copa Paraguay
Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion
0:4
Sep 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 36 / 100
Guarani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Asuncion found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Nacional Asuncion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS Guarani
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
